🌻 Theory Of Change
7 pages in this theme.
A simple measure of the goodness of fit of a causal theory to a text corpus
Abstract Suppose an evaluation team has a corpus of interviews and progress reports, plus (at least) two candidate theories of change (ToCs): an original one and a revised one. A practical question is…
AI-assisted causal mapping. Uncovering causal pathways with INTRAC
2026 01 08 The partner{.banner} We partnered with INTRAC on a project for the SCC (Strengthening Civil Society) programme. This programme is led by a consortium of four organisations: PAX, ABAAD, Defe…
Causal Mapping – the evaluation evidence broker
Marshalling causal evidence at scale for Contribution Analysis and beyond. {.banner} start multi column: PowerTool {.panel} Causal Mapping is not primarily an evaluation method; it is a way of identif…
Causal mapping can complement contribution analysis
Contribution analysis is about testing and refining a theory of change to build a credible case for contribution. It's focused on a specific theory of change and on the contributions to outcomes. Thes…
Causal mapping can help reconstruct a program theory empirically
To evaluate a program, the evaluator can use Contribution Analysis (CA) [@mayneMakingCausalClaims2012]. We start with a program logic or Theory of Change (ToC), consisting of possible pathways from in…
Does the evidence support your theory of change ?
!100 Task 3 Answering questions Individual questions/img/screenshot 110 does the evidence support your theory of change qq testing theory.png One way to do this is to use the elements from your theory…
ToC and causal maps in Ghana – Summary (book chapter)
[@powellDoesOurTheory2023] Source: book chapter draft in . Purpose Show how QuIP style causal mapping can compare an official programme ToC (“their theory”) with empirically coded beneficiary narrativ…