What a confident AI summary cannot know

15 Sep 2026

The big AI models are amazing. Give one a stack of interview transcripts and it will tell you, in fluent and confident prose, what people said: the main themes, who felt what, how groups differed. It reads like the work of a good analyst.

But can those claims be pinned down? If the summary says "most of the teachers, especially the women, mentioned workload", can you check it? And would it be true?

Here is what we found while building Rubicon, our tool for answering evaluation questions from interview data.

What that sentence actually needs#

For "most of the teachers, especially the women, mentioned workload" to be true, somebody has to do three things:

An AI model reading all the transcripts at once does none of these. It does not count. It remembers the beginning and end of a long read better than the middle, and a vivid quote sticks with it more than a dull one. It writes the kind of sentence that usually follows from material like this, which is not the same as a sentence that is true of this material.

How a confident summary can mislead#

What happened when we checked our own tool#

Rubicon is built so that every sentence in its report points to the interview passages it rests on. We used it to redo a published evaluation, then asked a separate reviewer to check our report against all 21 original transcripts, one claim at a time.

The quotations were perfect: all 488 were word for word. The sentences written around them were not. Of 52 claims the reviewer tested, 25 were wrong, and most were about who said something or how many people did. They were exactly the faults in the list above.

We only found them because every sentence could be traced back to its passages. A report without that trail would have had the same faults, and nobody would have seen them.

What we changed, and what to ask of any tool#